Greater clarity in an uncertain world


Kinetic Analysis' MPRES modeling platform integrates the best available natural hazard modeling approaches in the scientific literature. In return, we endeavor to be an active contributor to that global knowledge base through publication of our experiences and advances, across the breadth of fields encompassed by our hazard, damage and loss modeling.

Tropical cyclone modeling

  • Watson C. Jr., 1995: The arbiter of storms: A high resolution, GIS based storm hazard model. National Weather Digest, 20, 2–9.
  • Watson, C. Jr. and M. E. Johnson, 1999: “Design, Implementation, and Operation of a Modular Integrated Tropical Cyclone Hazard Model,” AMS 23rd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Dallas, TX.
  • Johnson, Mark E and Watson, Charles C Jr., 1999. "Hurricane Return Period Estimation," 10th Symposium on Global Change Studies, 10-15 Jan 1999. American Meteorological Society.
  • Watson, Charles C. Jr, 2002: Using Integrated Mulihazard Numerical Models in Coastal Storm Hazard Planning. Solutions to Coastal Disasters 02, Conference proceedings Feb 24-27 2002, San Diego, CA.
  • Watson, Charles C., and Johnson, Mark E, 2006. "Real-Time Prediction of Shut-in Production from Hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico" Society of Petroleum Engineers ATCR Conference, San Antonio, TX.
  • Watson, Charles Jr., and Johnson, Mark E, 2004: "Hurricane Loss Estimation Models, Opportunities for Improving the State of the Art," Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 85, 1713-1726.
  • Johnson, Mark E and Watson, Charles C. Jr., 2010: Statistical Analysis of Environmental Pressure Surrounding Atlantic Tropical Cyclones, Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, M. Lovric, editor in chief, Springer Verlag.

Climate + Tropical Cyclone Modeling

  • Watson, Charles C. Jr. and Johnson, Mark E., 2008. "Integrating hurricane loss models with climate models" chapter in Climate Extremes and Society. H.F. Diaz and R.J. Murnane, editors. Cambridge University Press.


  • Watson, Charles C, Johnson, Mark E., and M. Simons, 2004: Insurance rate filings and hurricane loss estimation models. J. Insurance
    , 22 (3), 39–64.

Natural hazard modeling: statistical evaluation

  • Iman, Ronald L., Johnson, Mark E., and Watson, Charles C. Jr., 2006: “Statistical Aspects of Forecasting and Planning for Hurricanes”. The American Statistician, May 2006, Vol. 60, No. 2
  • Johnson, Mark E. and Watson, Charles C. Jr., 2007: “Fitting Statistical Distributions to Data in Hurricane Modeling”, American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences, 2007, Vo. 27, Nos 3&4, 479-498.